💹 Economy & FinanceMAINS · GS3.1 · GS3.5

Inflation at 4.45% — and silver up 110%

July's CPI on the new 2024=100 base put headline inflation at 4.45 per cent and food at 5.52, with tomato swinging from +32 to −4.6 per cent in a month while silver jewellery ran at 109.84.

What happened

For Prelims

For UPSC: The month's core data card. Use it for flexible inflation targeting and the tolerance band, food versus core inflation, the rural-urban inflation divergence, and why base-year revision matters for any comparison over time.
What it is NOT: Because the base year has changed to 2024=100, these numbers are not directly comparable with the older 2012=100 series — and a single month's item-level swing, like tomato, is seasonal noise rather than a trend.

For Mains

Syllabus: GS3.1 · GS3.5 · Linkage L1

Anchor
Headline inflation inside the band tells you the aggregate is calm; the item table tells you no household actually experiences the aggregate.
Substantiation (data)
4.45 per cent headline with food at 5.52, rural 4.84 against urban 3.96, and silver jewellery at 109.84 per cent.
Exemplification
Tomato moved from +31.92 per cent in June to −4.59 in July — a 36-point swing in one item in one month.
Problematisation
Precious-metal inflation above 100 per cent barely moves a basket where it carries a small weight, while food at 5.52 per cent hits rural households hardest — the same index, two different experiences.
Way-forward
Read headline against core, watch the rural-urban gap as the distributional signal, and treat the base revision as a break in the series.
Position
An inflation number is a national average of a deeply unequal experience of prices.
Deploys into: Economy + food security (GS3.1, GS3.5) · flexible inflation targeting and the tolerance band, food versus core inflation, and the rural-urban inflation divergence.
Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation · 2026-08-12 · PRID 2298247 · PIB source ↗
Related: Economy & Finance · this week's cards · Inflation & prices